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Fuel prices ease New Zealand inflation but still squeeze freight

New Zealand's July fuel-price declines eased part of the inflation basket, but Freightways says higher fuel costs and weaker demand still damaged its final quarter.

Economics & Markets··Morning
An unmarked silver freight truck in a dawn logistics yard is linked by a narrowing amber droplet stream to a handcart of groceries.

July's third monthly fuel fall

Stats NZ's partial July inflation measure showed petrol prices down 5.7 per cent and diesel down 12.1 per cent, the third month in a row that fuel became cheaper. Prices and deflators spokesperson Nicola Growden said petrol and diesel now sit below their March levels but remain above February. Petrol is still 15.1 per cent dearer than a year earlier and diesel nearly 35 per cent. Fuel makes up about 4 per cent of the consumer price index. Food prices rose 0.1 per cent on the month and the annual rate of 1.9 per cent was the lowest since December 2024. Seasonal supply effects on strawberries, cucumbers and capsicums drove the monthly food rise, while meat and poultry recorded their largest monthly fall in more than five years. Takeaway meals, ready-to-eat food, milk, takeaway coffee and some bread lifted the annual food rate. Food is about 19 per cent of the index. Electricity, gas and rents were flat or marginally cheaper, while domestic airfares rose nearly 21 per cent on June, the biggest July increase in 11 years. The measured items cover about half the index; consumer inflation had quickened to a two-year high of 4.1 per cent in the year ended June.[1]

Freightways profit rose, then fuel hit the final quarter

Freightways, treated as a bellwether on the New Zealand market, lifted net profit to 94 million dollars from 80.1 million in the year to June and raised revenue to 1.46 billion dollars from 1.29 billion. The final dividend rose to 45 cents per share from 40; the group reports in New Zealand dollars and owns New Zealand Couriers, Poste Haste and Big Chill Distribution. It told the stock exchange that a strong start to the year was interrupted in the final quarter by higher fuel costs and softer customer demand tied to the US-Iran war. Fuel, the company said, works through two channels. Rapid price rises temporarily compress margins because fuel recovery mechanisms lag the underlying cost, and higher fuel prices cut discretionary spending across the economy, lowering freight volumes. The group also said the Reserve Bank's tightening contributed to the softer environment and that it expects same-customer volumes to improve progressively in Australia and New Zealand as fuel prices moderate.[2]

References

  1. News sourceRNZFuel fell for a third month and food inflation is the lowest since 2024↩
  2. News sourceRNZThe courier group's profit rose, then the fuel bill cut into the final quarter↩