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Analysis

US rig count holds at 603 as oil drilling declines

The US drilling rig count remained at 603 in the week ending October 16. Oil rigs declined, while increases in gas and miscellaneous rigs offset the fall. The combined total remained above its level a year earlier. The weekly figures show the composition of drilling activity changing alongside separate US government forecasts for higher annual oil and gas production.

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A tall lattice drilling mast, pipe racks and service modules on a dry open pad, with a small US flag beside the rig.

The weekly total stays at 603

US active drilling rigs remained at 603 in the week ending October 16, according to the survey by oilfield services company Baker Hughes. The combined total stood 55 rigs above the corresponding week a year earlier. Within that unchanged headline figure, oil drilling declined while other categories increased.[1], [2]

Gas and other rigs offset the oil decline

Oil rigs fell by 3 to 459. Gas rigs increased by 1 to 133, and miscellaneous rigs rose by 2 to 11, their highest level since January. Those changes offset one another in the total. The annual comparison put the combined count 10 per cent above the corresponding week last year.[1]

Annual output forecasts cover a different period

The US rig count had fallen 7 per cent in 2025, 5 per cent in 2024 and 20 per cent in 2023. Lower oil prices in those years encouraged companies to prioritise shareholder returns and debt repayment over increasing production. Separately, the US Energy Information Administration projects crude output rising from 13.7 million barrels a day in 2025 to 13.9 million in 2026. Those annual production projections accompany the weekly drilling survey.[1]

References

  1. News sourceReutersUS oil rigs decline while the total count stays unchanged↩1↩2↩3
  2. News sourceSteel Market UpdateUS drilling rig count stays at 603↩