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Analysis

Iran war support weakens candidates’ appeal in pre-election poll

A YouGov survey completed before the US midterm elections found that 44 per cent of respondents were less likely to vote for a candidate supporting the Iran war, while 13 per cent were more likely. Separate questions favoured avoiding domestic price increases and giving Congress the final say on ending the war. The findings describe stated attitudes before voting.

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The United States Capitol in Washington.

Stated candidate preferences

In the United States, a YouGov survey completed before the midterm elections asked how candidates’ support for the US-Israeli war on Iran affected their appeal. Of respondents, 44 per cent said they were less likely to vote for a candidate backing the war, while 13 per cent were more likely. Another 26 per cent said it would not make much difference.[1], [2]

Prices and war aims

A separate question asked respondents to weigh military objectives in Iran against avoiding higher prices at home. Avoiding price increases was the priority for 56 per cent. Republicans were the only group more likely to find a candidate appealing when they supported the war. About a third gave that response, according to the survey’s commissioner.[1]

Who should decide when the war ends?

Asked who should have the final say on ending the war, 53 per cent chose Congress, the US federal legislature, and 29 per cent the president. The survey was commissioned by the Institute for Global Affairs, a policy research organisation at Eurasia Group. Its programme director Jonathan Guyer interpreted the findings as a call for more assertive congressional oversight. The responses describe attitudes expressed before voting, rather than respondents’ observed ballot choices.[1]

References

  1. News sourceAl JazeeraPoll finds Iran war support reduces stated candidate appeal↩1↩2↩3
  2. News sourceInstitute for Global AffairsPoll finds Iran war support reduces stated candidate appeal↩