Eigen RadarEconomics
Analysis

Euro-area credit picks up: companies lead the pace

ECB July data show faster annual growth in euro-area corporate lending and an increase in broad money. A German consumer survey found improving income expectations while willingness to buy remained flat, adding a household perspective to the credit snapshot.

Economics & Markets··Midday
In a bright workshop, a broad channel filled with metal tokens runs to machinery while a sparse side branch leads to an empty shopping basket.

Corporate lending accelerated

According to the ECB, annual growth in loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area rose from 4 per cent in June to 4.4 per cent in July. Household lending growth increased from 3 per cent to 3.1 per cent. These are annual, not monthly, rates and show a stronger pickup in company borrowing.[1]

The broad-money measure

The same ECB release put annual broad-money, M3, growth at 3.4 per cent. M3 is a separate monetary aggregate: alongside the lending series, it completes the quantitative financing picture for July.[1]

The consumer side

In the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions survey, German income expectations rose to a six-month high for September. The consumer-climate indicator improved from a revised minus 29.4 in August to minus 26.6, while willingness to buy was unchanged. This German survey is a separate household-side comparison, showing that expectations and willingness to buy need not move at the same pace; it does not establish a cause for euro-area lending. The survey also separates sentiment from observed spending, so it is not evidence of a broader consumption turn.[2]

References

  1. News sourceEuropean Central BankCorporate lending sped up in July, and euro-area broad money reached 3.4 per cent↩1↩2
  2. News sourceNuremberg Institute for Market DecisionsGerman income expectations are at a six-month high, willingness to buy is flat↩